AccuWeather Fall Forecast Spells Good News For Rockies, Slow Start For Northeast
A just-released fall forecast by AccuWeather.com says the Rockies may be the place to be for early and mid-season as temperatures are expected to average 1-2 degrees below normal this fall.
"I think there will be some early cold outbreaks out over the central and northern Rockies, especially. I think that’s where the winter season actually is going to start much quicker," says AccuWeather Meteorologist Paul Pastelok. The central and southern Rockies, spanning the Four Corners region, may be a “hot spot” for snow by the middle of the season, he adds.
“The jet stream will be increasing across that area. I think they will start to see some snow falling by as early as early- to mid-October," Pastelok says.
The Four Corners region encompasses Utah, Arizona, Colorado, and New Mexico and includes, among others, Arizona Snow Bowl in Flagstaff; Durango Mountain Resort, Silverton, Telluride, Wolf Creek, and Monarch in Colorado; Taos, Red River, Sipapu, Sandia Peak, Angel Fire, and Santa Fe in Northern New Mexico; and Brian Head near Cedar City, Utah.
The difference in the year-over-year forecast is apparently due to colder Canada air masses dropping down into the Plains states, providing a good set-up for Rocky Mountain snows.
The Northeast, which got hit by a nasty Halloween snowstorm last year, will have a slower return of chilly air. Early season snow is not likely for the I-95 cities, because it may take a while for cold air to sync up with huge storms.
The “wary news” in the AccuWeather fall prediction is cold air may be delayed in arriving across areas farther east in the nation.
What It Means: Don’t put all your cookies into advance seasonal forecasts. Still, this one sounds good for one major ski region. The Aspen Times, however, does point out that “Accu-Weather -- and everyone else -- issued what turned out to be a poor forecast. The cold air mass settled west of Colorado, so mountains stayed warmer and drier than expected.” It simply means, stay tuned.
Map: Courtesy AccuWeather.com